Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 92642.446257 97706.205782 102768.162886 108204.582826 113874.458328 119609.961601 125846.910008
2025-10-26 83581.030514 91261.706873 99153.574421 107858.148851 117179.260231 126850.639826 137633.479782
2025-11-02 77564.345606 87039.893890 96987.914159 108189.496136 120429.853652 133377.440153 148086.798200
2025-11-09 72695.336782 83479.660379 95008.288452 108214.964685 122889.713298 138659.484644 156850.859654
2025-11-16 69481.314294 81399.871272 94341.414747 109386.925667 126344.551059 144812.533530 166391.703983
2025-11-23 66006.601625 78764.259528 92816.505520 109374.235138 128278.272100 149114.975607 173743.334019
2025-11-30 63902.279826 77521.438986 92715.695272 110834.157766 131757.091438 155064.203215 182891.063490
2025-12-07 61761.535298 76096.744995 92282.959443 111800.694286 134579.259046 160202.688913 191079.713982
2025-12-14 59285.295800 74149.215424 91127.493713 111820.232551 136215.083134 163912.550663 197582.515926
2025-12-21 57191.871993 72551.779384 90288.747866 112123.934826 138109.425073 167868.680577 204339.872458
2025-12-28 55986.179009 71951.017471 90571.083499 113703.581134 141469.293657 173516.257169 213079.190521
2026-01-04 54655.515542 71132.743191 90536.757678 114856.413357 144287.874899 178512.109129 221058.755561
2026-01-11 53119.697728 70020.418830 90117.573874 115529.528939 146536.501171 182862.098780 228335.085978
2026-01-18 51435.857549 68664.022825 89348.761822 115732.699619 148186.581154 186485.392661 234753.964404
2026-01-25 49992.648180 67553.850307 88834.011724 116204.394567 150131.310467 190446.200695 241581.847233
2026-02-01 48434.144052 66241.430950 88017.700114 116256.889249 151525.733017 193719.712260 247574.049731
2026-02-08 47534.902429 65735.676725 88180.261885 117505.115510 154382.311266 198772.287415 255750.774103
2026-02-15 46103.517768 64494.326261 87370.993765 117492.804222 155641.143093 201851.832166 261511.946311
2026-02-22 45455.903807 64248.191678 87806.586760 119041.089994 158848.254730 207338.846472 270264.005787
2026-03-01 44612.449395 63713.880892 87847.224378 120065.900838 161385.785247 211999.930847 278015.612438
2026-03-08 43375.825080 62619.513585 87129.938332 120086.626076 162627.193019 215035.504450 283748.703390
2026-03-15 42325.336941 61741.884263 86665.654691 120408.605455 164234.337232 218521.366146 290051.974454
2026-03-22 41886.149855 61672.078628 87246.948438 122083.158175 167577.825228 224205.020964 299146.972869